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Cenkos hails Falcon Oil & Gas’s unique position on AIM, price target implies +500% upside

The house broker repeated a 'buy' recommendation for the Australian shale explorer.

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd - Cenkos hails Falcon Oil & Gas’s unique position on AIM, price target implies +500% upside

Falcon Oil & Gas Plc (LON:FOG) is a unique proposition on AIM, according to Cenkos, which has repeated a ‘buy’ and a price target of 40p per share which implies some 545% upside to the explorer’s current price.

Cenkos analyst James McCormack, in a note, highlights that Falcon is debt-free and fully-funded through its upcoming work campaign.

Moreover, Falcon has sufficient cash to see it through to a potential monetisation of its remaining 22.5% stake in the Beetaloo shale project in Australia’s northern territory.

READ: Falcon Oil & Gas results confirm strong financial position

“We believe Falcon is now fully funded through one of the greatest periods of uncertainty in the oil and gas industry, eliminating all equity and dilution risk for shareholders,” the analyst said.

Operationally, the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic arrived midway through a key programme, with the joint venture partners awaiting the fracking of the Kyalla 117 N2-1 appraisal well (drilled in October).

The well cut a 1,579m section within the Lower Kyalla Formation, in its horizontal section, which will be the focus of fracking in due course and a production test.

The Kyalla well will be followed by a well into the Velkerri liquids rich gas play, providing another important milestone in the venture – two further wells are slated at Beetaloo.

“Should Falcon prove the commerciality of one or more of these plays, they are ideally situated for both export and domestic utilisation,” McCormack said.

Falcon in April struck a new deal with venture partner Origin, selling a 7.5% interest in the Beetaloo project in return for AS$150mln of project funding commitments.

“At a time when many oil and gas companies fight for their very survival, we believe Falcon has secured an excellent deal for shareholders,” the analyst added.

Quick facts: Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd

Price: 10.85 GBX

AIM:FOG
Market: AIM
Market Cap: £115.37 m
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Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd excited to be back drilling in the Beetaloo Basin

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd’s (LON:FOG) (CVE:FO) CEO Philip O'Quigley says it's exciting times for the business as exploration re-commences at Beetaloo. In October, the Kyalla 117 N2-1 was spudded - It is the first well in the ‘Stage 2’ drill programme. The well is located some 32 kilometres...

on 10/10/19

2 min read